Context
The OBR forecasted spending on incapacity and disability benefits to be £90.7 billion in 2029-30. The questioner references a previous welfare Bill that was significantly watered down.
Question
Just two months ago, the Secretary of State was left humiliated after being forced to significantly water down her botched welfare Bill. If the Government had pressed ahead with the Bill as originally drafted, how much less would taxpayers be spending on benefits by 2030?
Answer from The Minister for Social Security and Disability (Sir Stephen Timms)
As I have said, the OBR will update its forecast at the time of the Budget. We inherited a terrible situation, with record numbers of economically inactive people. Economic inactivity is down since the election, and employment is up. Those developments have been encouraging, but our reforms will go much further. The £3.8 billion that we are investing in employment support for people out of work on health and disability grounds—the biggest package ever—will be key.
Not addressed: The specific amount of savings if the original welfare Bill was passed
How: We Inherited A Terrible Situation, Economic Inactivity Is Down
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