Commons Sense

House of Commons · Ministers' Questions

Growth Plan: OBR Assessment

Tuesday 11 October 2022 · 8 questions

Summarised by AI from the official record, so it can contain mistakes.

At a glance

Answered 0 Partly answered 5 Not answered 0

Key points

  • Jamie Stone asked the Chancellor to publish an OBR assessment of the growth plan before November 23, 2022, but the Chancellor announced the publication date as October 31.
  • Robert Halfon inquired about the levelling-up fund and its role in the growth plan, receiving a supportive response from the Chancellor.
  • Alison McGovern questioned the Chancellor about Cabinet Ministers briefing against the OBR, to which the Chancellor defended the OBR's independence and respect globally.

Topics (select to filter)

Questions & Answers

Q1 Jamie Stone Lib Dem Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
Context

The Chancellor had not yet published an Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) assessment of the growth plan as requested by opposition members.

Question

If he will publish an assessment by the Office for Budget Responsibility of the growth plan 2022 before 23 November 2022.

Answer from Kwasi Kwarteng

The hon. Gentleman will have seen that I have brought forward the publication of the medium-term fiscal plan to 31 October.

Partly answered

Not addressed: Publication date was moved earlier, but not before November 23rd as requested.

How: Changed Subject

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Q2 Jamie Stone Lib Dem Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
Context

The Chancellor had not published an OBR assessment despite opposition requests. The question was about the moral implications of cutting benefits.

Question

I think the House will agree that the uncertainty over the date has not exactly helped forward planning on benefits. Any real cut in benefits will mean people not having enough money to buy food and clothing for their children, so does the Chancellor agree that increasing benefits in line with inflation is the only fair way forward? Indeed, it would be immoral to do otherwise.

Answer from Kwasi Kwarteng

I am delighted to see that one member of the anti-growth coalition is focusing on growth. However, on the hon. Gentleman's specific question, he will understand that the medium-term fiscal plan is coming out on 31 October, and I will not prejudge any measures in it.

Not addressed: Did not address the moral implications or benefits increase request.

How: Personal Attack, Changed Subject

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Context

The Chancellor was asked about the levelling-up fund and a specific bid from Harlow Council to transform a derelict area.

Question

Does my right hon. Friend agree that the levelling-up fund is an important part of the plan for growth, and has he seen Harlow Council's levelling-up fund bid, which I wholeheartedly support? It would transform a derelict area of our town centre into a thriving cultural quarter with jobs and investment, tackling antisocial behaviour.

Answer from Kwasi Kwarteng

My right hon. Friend is a redoubtable and highly persuasive representative of his constituents. I would be happy to talk to him about what we can do together to help his great constituency.

Not addressed: Did not confirm seeing the bid or discuss its details.

How: Changed Subject

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Q4 Stephen Doughty Labour (Co-op) Cardiff South and Penarth
Context

The Bank of England had to intervene multiple times due to economic pressures, causing concern for public sector pensions.

Question

The Bank of England has had to intervene not once, not twice, but three times now. The impact on pension funds is very significant, and many of my constituents will be deeply worried. What assessment has the Chancellor made of the impact of potential additional pressures on the economy on public sector pensions and the damage to pension funds for pensioners up and down this country?

Answer from Kwasi Kwarteng

The OBR will be fully scoring and giving a forecast ahead of the medium-term fiscal plan. I speak very frequently to the Governor of the Bank of England, who is absolutely independent and is very effectively managing what is a global situation.

Partly answered

Not addressed: Did not provide an assessment or specific impact analysis.

How: Changed Subject

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Context

The Chancellor was asked for advice on how to ensure measures would pass through the House.

Question

I very much welcome my right hon. Friend's decision to bring forward the medium-term plan and the OBR forecast; he has listened, and he is right. However, may I caution him to reach out as much as he can across both sides of the House, to be certain that he can get through this House the measures he puts forward to underpin that forecast?

Answer from Kwasi Kwarteng

My right hon. Friend is absolutely right. He does a brilliant job of chairing his Committee and is full of wise counsel; he is absolutely right that we will and should canvass opinion widely ahead of the publication of the plan.

Partly answered

Not addressed: Did not provide specific details on consultation process or timeline.

How: Changed Subject

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Q6 Alison McGovern Lab Birkenhead
Context

The Chancellor was asked about the credibility and independence of the Office for Budget Responsibility.

Question

The OBR was the creation of a Conservative Government and was designed to curtail wishful thinking in economic policy, so does the Chancellor agree that it is unfortunate, to say the least, that we seem to have Cabinet Ministers briefing against the economic expertise of that independent institution?

Answer from Kwasi Kwarteng

As far as I am concerned—I speak to investors regularly about this—the OBR is an institution that commands wide respect, not only in the UK but across the world. Its independence, to me, is absolutely sacrosanct.

Partly answered

Not addressed: Did not address the briefing or credibility concerns directly.

How: Changed Subject

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Context

The Chancellor was asked to communicate more effectively about the energy price guarantee and reduce energy consumption in public buildings.

Question

The energy price guarantee is an outstanding part of the growth plan. It is key, but far too few businesses and households know about it. May I urge the Chancellor to have a nationwide mail-out campaign, coupled with the Government taking the lead on the reduction of energy in all public buildings, as Germany and other countries are doing? That would have the twin benefits of saving consumers money and reducing taxpayer subsidies.

Answer from Kwasi Kwarteng

My hon. Friend makes an excellent suggestion. Obviously I am very careful not to make unfunded spending commitments on the Floor of the House, but his suggestion is very well made and we should look into it.

Partly answered

Not addressed: Did not commit to a mail-out campaign or specific action.

How: Changed Subject

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Q8 James Murray Labour (Co-op) Ealing North
Context

The Chancellor was asked about the criticism of his decision not to publish OBR forecasts at the time of the mini-Budget.

Question

The Chancellor's refusal to publish OBR forecasts just over two weeks ago played a key role in falling confidence in the pound, rising borrowing costs and market panic. His woeful decision to avoid scrutiny by gagging the OBR helped to increase mortgage costs for working people, who are now paying the price for Conservative failure.

Answer from Kwasi Kwarteng

As I have repeatedly said today, the OBR will have a fully forecasted and scored response to the medium-term fiscal plan in less than three weeks.

Not addressed: Did not address criticism directly; changed subject.

How: Changed Subject

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